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Omonia vs AEL Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Omonia host AEL Limassol in the Cyprus League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Omonia have averaged 1.74 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against AEL Limassol's 1.48 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Omonia have won 4 to AEL Limassol's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.06) back Omonia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Omonia
15%
Draws
46%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Omonia come out ahead of AEL Limassol on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Omonia taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Omonia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Omonia Clean Sheet 20%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia AEL Limassol
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.74 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEL Limassol
1:2
Jan 9, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Omonia
0:2
Sep 22, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEL Limassol
5:0
Jan 28, 2025 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEL Limassol
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Omonia
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 76 / 100
AEL Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia AEL Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Omonia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: AEL Limassol conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Omonia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS AEL Limassol
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
22 Oct
Omonia
1 : 4
Benfica
19 Oct
Omonia
2 : 2
Ol. Nicosia
15 Oct
Celje
0 : 3
Omonia
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
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AEL Limassol

(Away)
18 Oct
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Oct
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Omonia 29th May
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEL Limassol 6 5 0 1 10:8 15
2 AEK Larnaca 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Omonia 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Apollon Limassol 6 3 3 0 14:8 12
5 Pafos 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
6 Aris Limassol 6 2 3 1 7:8 9
7 APOEL 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
8 Omonia 29th May 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
9 Omonia Aradippou 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 6 0 5 1 10:11 5
11 Nea Salamis 6 1 1 4 11:15 4
12 Krasava 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
13 Anorthosis 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
14 Karmiotissa 6 0 3 3 4:11 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)