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Omonia vs APOEL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Omonia host APOEL in the Cyprus League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. APOEL have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Omonia have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.74. Past meetings favor Omonia slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.56) point toward Omonia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Omonia
30%
Draws
43%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APOEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • APOEL are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Omonia Clean Sheet 15%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia APOEL
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Omonia
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Omonia
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:2
May 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 11 / 100
APOEL 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APOEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APOEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Omonia scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Omonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS APOEL
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
26 Oct
AEK Larnaca
2 : 0
Omonia
22 Oct
Omonia
1 : 4
Benfica
19 Oct
Omonia
2 : 2
Ol. Nicosia
15 Oct
Celje
0 : 3
Omonia
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
Page 1 of 7

APOEL

(Away)
28 Oct
APOEL
5 : 2
Halkanoras
25 Oct
APOEL
4 : 1
Omonia 29th May
19 Oct
Pafos
0 : 0
APOEL
10 Oct
APOEL
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 7 5 1 1 13:5 16
2 Apollon Limassol 7 4 3 0 19:8 15
3 AEL Limassol 7 5 0 2 11:11 15
4 Omonia 7 3 3 1 13:6 12
5 Pafos 7 3 3 1 7:3 12
6 Aris Limassol 7 3 3 1 10:9 12
7 APOEL 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
8 Omonia 29th May 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
9 Anorthosis 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 7 0 6 1 11:12 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 7 1 3 3 4:8 6
12 Nea Salamis 7 1 2 4 11:15 5
13 Krasava 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
14 Karmiotissa 7 0 3 4 4:16 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)