Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs APOEL

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mmaee R.
12' Event
Costa Ewandro
46'
Sub
Meyer M. In: Olayinka P.
Out: Meyer M.

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Omonia
30%
Draws
23%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Omonia Clean Sheet 14%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia APOEL
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Omonia
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Omonia
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:2
May 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa Ewandro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

APOEL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 30 / 100
APOEL 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APOEL has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Omonia scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Omonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS APOEL
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
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APOEL

(Away)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)