Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs APOEL

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mmaee R.
12' Event
Ewandro
46'
Sub
Meyer M. In: Olayinka P.
Out: Meyer M.

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Omonia
30%
Draws
8%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Omonia have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • Omonia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Omonia Clean Sheet 20%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia APOEL
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Omonia
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Omonia
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:2
May 18, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs APOEL
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ewandro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

APOEL Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 85 / 100
APOEL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Omonia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

APOEL has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Omonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS APOEL
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
06 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 1
Omonia
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 0
Omonia
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
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APOEL

(Away)
08 Aug
APOEL
2 : 2
Kifisia
31 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
APOEL
22 May
Pafos
2 : 0
APOEL
16 May
APOEL
0 : 3
Omonia
10 May
Apollon Limassol
2 : 0
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)