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Stadium Background

Omonia vs Aris Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tankovic M.
22' Event
Mmaee R.
32'
Sub
Yago S. In: Bourhane Y.
Out: Yago S.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between Omonia and Aris Limassol finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Omonia
30%
Draws
31%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Omonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Omonia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Omonia Clean Sheet 20%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Aris Limassol
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Omonia
1:4
May 2, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Aris Limassol
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Omonia
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Omonia
3:5
Oct 5, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Aris Limassol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tankovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aris Limassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 76 / 100
Aris Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Omonia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Aris Limassol let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Omonia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Aris Limassol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
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Aris Limassol

(Away)
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)