Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs Celta Vigo

Europe Europe

Europa League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Jutgla F. In: Gonzalez H.
Out: Jutgla F.
56'
Sub
Driouech C. In: Swedberg W.
Out: Driouech C.
63'
Sub
Tankovic M. In: Brouwers L.
Out: Tankovic M.

AI Match Summary

Omonia in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Omonia
35%
Draws
28%
Celta Vigo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Omonia lately — more wins on the board than Celta Vigo.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Omonia Clean Sheet 68%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Celta Vigo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
Omonia vs Celta Vigo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Balkovec J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Celta Vigo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 41 / 100
Celta Vigo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Celta Vigo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Celta Vigo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Omonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Celta Vigo
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
31 Aug
Omonia
0 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo

(Away)
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0
Racing Santander
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
07 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Celta Vigo
03 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)