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Omonia vs Ol. Nicosia Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 GSP Stadium, Nicosia
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Match Events

2' Event
Andreou P.
24' Event
Costa Ewandro
30' Event
Tankovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between Omonia and Ol. Nicosia finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Omonia
35%
Draws
22%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Omonia come out ahead of Ol. Nicosia on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Omonia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Omonia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Omonia Clean Sheet 20%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Ol. Nicosia
5:0
Dec 6, 2025 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Omonia
0:3
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Omonia vs Ol. Nicosia
0:4
Feb 20, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Omonia
0:1
Nov 11, 2022 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Ol. Nicosia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa Ewandro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andreou P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ol. Nicosia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 76 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Omonia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Ol. Nicosia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Omonia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Ol. Nicosia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
38% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
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Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 26 19 4 3 63:17 61
2 AEK Larnaca 26 16 5 5 49:22 53
3 Apollon Limassol 26 16 5 5 36:22 53
4 Pafos 26 16 3 7 53:24 51
5 APOEL 26 13 6 7 45:27 45
6 Aris Limassol 26 12 7 7 48:26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou 26 10 4 12 23:31 34
8 AEL Limassol 26 10 3 13 31:38 33
9 Anorthosis 26 7 11 8 23:33 32
10 Krasava 26 8 4 14 26:36 28
11 Ol. Nicosia 26 6 10 10 22:37 28
12 Akritas Chloraka 26 7 5 14 23:48 26
13 Achnas 26 7 2 17 25:44 23
14 Paralimni 26 0 1 25 5:67 1
Promotion - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)