Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Omonia vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Super Cup Alphamega Stadium, Limassol
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Dragomir V.
15'
Ioannou N.
32'
Simic S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Omonia
20%
Draws
40%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Omonia come out ahead of Pafos on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Pafos taking it.
  • Omonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Omonia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Omonia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Omonia Clean Sheet 16%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Omonia Pafos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Super Cup
Omonia vs Pafos
0:1
May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Omonia
2:4
Oct 27, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs Pafos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Omonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lele
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Omonia 23 / 100
Pafos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Omonia Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omonia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Pafos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Omonia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Omonia VS Pafos
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Omonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia
4 : 1
Krasava
16 Sept
Omonia
1 : 0
Celta Vigo
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

Pafos

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Omonia 0
Pafos 1