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OMTK-ULE vs III. Keruleti TVE

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

III. Keruleti TVE is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to OMTK-ULE, backed by a win probability of 60%. OMTK-ULE averages 1.8 goals scored and 3.7 conceded in recent matches. III. Keruleti TVE shows a form average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for OMTK-ULE, 1 wins for III. Keruleti TVE, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.08.23 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for OMTK-ULE and 1.00 for III. Keruleti TVE, suggesting the primary value lies in the III. Keruleti TVE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
OMTK-ULE
25%
Draws
60%
III. Keruleti TVE
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: III. Keruleti TVE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • OMTK-ULE picked up more points recently compared to III. Keruleti TVE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
OMTK-ULE Clean Sheet 23%
III. Keruleti TVE Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OMTK-ULE III. Keruleti TVE
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 6
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.42
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

27.08.23 Hungarian Cup
OMTK-ULE vs III. Keruleti TVE
0:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

OMTK-ULE

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

III. Keruleti TVE

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OMTK-ULE 18 / 100
III. Keruleti TVE 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OMTK-ULE III. Keruleti TVE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick III. Keruleti TVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick III. Keruleti TVE & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

III. Keruleti TVE will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

OMTK-ULE 17%
III. Keruleti TVE 48%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

OMTK-ULE will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize III. Keruleti TVE's early runs.

OMTK-ULE 14%
III. Keruleti TVE 63%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect III. Keruleti TVE to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as OMTK-ULE tries to push forward.

OMTK-ULE 15%
III. Keruleti TVE 60%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see III. Keruleti TVE increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

OMTK-ULE 16%
III. Keruleti TVE 57%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for OMTK-ULE's defense, opening up opportunities for III. Keruleti TVE's forward line.

OMTK-ULE 14%
III. Keruleti TVE 66%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect III. Keruleti TVE to manage the closing stages, while OMTK-ULE searches for late drama.

OMTK-ULE 17%
III. Keruleti TVE 69%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

OMTK-ULE attacking → ← attacking III. Keruleti TVE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OMTK-ULE have found the net in 83% of their last 6 matches.

III. Keruleti TVE have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

OMTK-ULE remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

III. Keruleti TVE suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 66
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00