Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Once Caldas vs Cucuta

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Assist: Roa A.
7'
Castano J.
10' Event
Roa A.
Assist: Gomez P.

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Once Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Once Caldas
15%
Draws
34%
Cucuta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Once Caldas have won more games recently than Cucuta.
  • Once Caldas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Cucuta
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
5:1
Jan 19, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
1:2
Feb 23, 2023 Copa Colombia
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
1:0
Feb 16, 2023 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
3:1
Oct 14, 2020 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cucuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 40 / 100
Cucuta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Cucuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Once Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Once Caldas scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Cucuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Cucuta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Cucuta
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
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Cucuta

(Away)
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Cucuta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Dep. Cali 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
3 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
4 Millonarios 12 5 5 2 16:9 20
5 Atl. Nacional 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
6 Ind. Medellin 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
7 Deportes Tolima 11 5 3 3 15:13 18
8 Santa Fe 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Alianza 11 3 2 6 11:21 11
16 Junior 9 2 3 4 14:14 9
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 11 1 6 4 13:18 9
18 Dep. Pereira 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
19 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)