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Once Caldas vs Cucuta

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
01:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas host Cucuta in the Primera A. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Cucuta have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Once Caldas have conceded 1 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Once Caldas have won 2 to Cucuta's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 0.75) back Once Caldas to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Once Caldas
11%
Draws
9%
Cucuta
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Once Caldas have won more games recently than Cucuta.
  • Once Caldas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas Cucuta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 14 11
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
1:2
Feb 23, 2023 Copa Colombia
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
1:0
Feb 16, 2023 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
3:1
Oct 14, 2020 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Primera A
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas 76 / 100
Cucuta 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas Cucuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Once Caldas scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Cucuta conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Once Caldas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas VS Cucuta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas

(Home)
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
14 May
Junior
2 : 2
Once Caldas
10 May
Once Caldas
0 : 1
Junior
01 May
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Atl. Nacional
26 Apr
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Cucuta

(Away)
02 Jun
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Cucuta
29 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
16 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Leones
09 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1
Cucuta
02 May
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 0
Cucuta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali11002:03
2Llaneros11001:03
3Chico00000:00
4Ind. Medellin00000:00
5America De Cali00000:00
6Santa Fe00000:00
7Inter Bogotá00000:00
8Atl. Nacional00000:00
9Bucaramanga00000:00
10Cucuta00000:00
11Dep. Pasto00000:00
12Deportes Tolima00000:00
13Junior00000:00
14Millonarios00000:00
15Once Caldas00000:00
16Aguilas Doradas00000:00
17Alianza00000:00
18Fortaleza C.E.I.F.00000:00
19Dep. Pereira10010:10
20Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)