Sport Picks
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W Prediction & H2H Stats
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 
Match Events
27'
27'
Orozco D.
31'
31'
Guzman M.
Assist: Pastrana N.
46'
46'
Sub
Marin S. In: Hernandez A.
Out: Marin S.
AI Match Summary
Once Caldas W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Once Caldas W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Pasto W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Dep. Pasto W have won more games recently than Once Caldas W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Once Caldas W | Dep. Pasto W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W
4:1
May 4, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Once Caldas W
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Once Caldas W Compare
Top Goalscorer Guzman M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Dep. Pasto W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Once Caldas W 41 / 100
Dep. Pasto W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Once Caldas W Dep. Pasto W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Once Caldas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Dep. Pasto W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Once Caldas W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Dep. Pasto W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Once Caldas W VS Dep. Pasto W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Once Caldas W
(Home) 20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1 Once Caldas W
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Inter Palmira W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0 Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Llaneros W
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Inter Palmira W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0 Llaneros W
11 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 1 Orsomarso W
04 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
15 Apr
Once Caldas W
0 : 2 Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Pasto W
(Away) 20 Aug
Orsomarso W
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
02 Aug
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1 Once Caldas W
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Orsomarso W
3 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
17 May
America de Cali W
2 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
04 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 0 Dep. Pasto W
31 Mar
Ind. Medellin W
3 : 1 Dep. Pasto W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
