Sport Picks

Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Palogrande

Once Caldas W

1 - 1

Fortaleza W

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Navas S.

34'

Rivera T.

Assist: Pastrana N.

46'

Sub

Castillo I. In: Martinez A.

Out: Castillo I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Once Caldas W

33%

Draws

27%

Fortaleza W

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Once Caldas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Fortaleza W lately — more wins on the board than Once Caldas W.
40% — that's where the model lands on Once Caldas W taking it.
Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 68%

Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Once Caldas W	Fortaleza W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	5
Draws	10	9
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	0.5	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga Women

Fortaleza W vs Once Caldas W

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

May 12, 2025 Liga Women

Once Caldas W vs Fortaleza W

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas W 50 / 100

Fortaleza W 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Once Caldas W Fortaleza W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fortaleza W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Once Caldas W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Once Caldas W scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas W VS Fortaleza W

0.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dep. Cali W	16	12	2	2	35:7	38
2	Indep. Santa Fe W	16	11	2	3	32:12	35
3	Atl. Nacional W	16	7	8	1	22:10	29
4	Ind. Medellin W	16	9	2	5	24:14	29
5	Inter Palmira W	16	8	3	5	19:18	27
6	America de Cali W	16	7	5	4	19:13	26
7	Orsomarso W	16	7	4	5	23:14	25
8	Millonarios W	16	6	6	4	25:20	24
9	Inter Bogotá W	16	6	6	4	14:9	24
10	Dep. Pasto W	16	6	5	5	21:17	23
11	Junior W	16	3	5	8	21:37	14
12	Real Santander W	16	2	7	7	9:18	13
13	Once Caldas W	16	2	6	8	12:23	12
14	Alianza W	16	3	1	12	15:37	10
15	Fortaleza W	16	2	4	10	12:37	10
16	Bucaramanga W	16	1	6	9	5:22	9