Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Once Caldas W vs Orsomarso W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Asprilla F.
24'
Rivera T.
41' Event
Ramirez M.
Assist: Orozco D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Once Caldas W
30%
Draws
34%
Orsomarso W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Once Caldas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Orsomarso W have won more games recently than Once Caldas W.
  • Win probability leans Once Caldas W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Once Caldas W Clean Sheet 19%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Once Caldas W Orsomarso W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga Women
Once Caldas W vs Orsomarso W
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Once Caldas W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Once Caldas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Orsomarso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Once Caldas W 36 / 100
Orsomarso W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Once Caldas W Orsomarso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orsomarso W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Once Caldas W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Once Caldas W's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Once Caldas W VS Orsomarso W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Once Caldas W

(Home)
28 May
Real Santander W
0 : 0
Once Caldas W
22 May
Once Caldas W
0 : 0
Llaneros W
16 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0
Once Caldas W
11 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
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Orsomarso W

(Away)
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1
Junior W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0
Orsomarso W
17 May
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá W
11 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 1
Orsomarso W
03 May
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Inter Palmira W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)