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Onduparaka vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

1 - 1
FT
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Onduparaka and Bunyaruguru finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Onduparaka
20%
Draws
44%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bunyaruguru come out ahead of Onduparaka on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Bunyaruguru
1:1
Jan 13, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Onduparaka
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 31 / 100
Bunyaruguru 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onduparaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Onduparaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bunyaruguru registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Onduparaka scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Bunyaruguru
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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