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Onduparaka vs Nebbi Central

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

3 - 1
FT
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Onduparaka in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Onduparaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Onduparaka
30%
Draws
31%
Nebbi Central
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Onduparaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nebbi Central have won more games recently than Onduparaka.
  • Win probability leans Onduparaka's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Nebbi Central
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Onduparaka
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Nebbi Central
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 42 / 100
Nebbi Central 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Nebbi Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Onduparaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Nebbi Central has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Nebbi Central
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

Nebbi Central

(Away)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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