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Onduparaka vs Paidha Black Angels Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Onduparaka and Paidha Black Angels finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Onduparaka
30%
Draws
47%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onduparaka Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Paidha Black Angels
0:0
Jan 1, 2026 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Onduparaka
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Onduparaka
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Big League
Onduparaka vs Paidha Black Angels
0:0
Apr 24, 2019 Premier League
Paidha Black Angels vs Onduparaka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onduparaka 36 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onduparaka Paidha Black Angels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paidha Black Angels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Onduparaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Onduparaka scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Paidha Black Angels conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Onduparaka VS Paidha Black Angels
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Onduparaka

(Home)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

Paidha Black Angels

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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