Sport Picks
One Knoxville vs AV Alta FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN 
Match Events
22'
22'
Baker T.
Assist: Murphy Jr. J.
26'
26'
Bahena Jr C.
Assist: Aoumaich A.
57'
57'
Sub
Relerford N. In: Ortiz C.
Out: Relerford N.
AI Match Summary
AV Alta FC in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AV Alta FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- One Knoxville have won more games recently than AV Alta FC.
- Model gives One Knoxville a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and One Knoxville have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | One Knoxville | AV Alta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs One Knoxville
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs AV Alta FC
2:3
Sep 14, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs One Knoxville
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs AV Alta FC
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rosamilia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
AV Alta FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Bahena Jr C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Desdunes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
One Knoxville 85 / 100
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
One Knoxville AV Alta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Defensive concern: AV Alta FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: One Knoxville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
One Knoxville VS AV Alta FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
One Knoxville
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
22 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
AV Alta FC
(Away) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
