Sport Picks
One Knoxville vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Osorio J. In: Collins T.
Out: Osorio J.
46'
46'
Sub
Krioutchenkov D. In: Goling M.
Out: Krioutchenkov D.
46'
46'
Sub
Conway E. In: Gill R.
Out: Conway E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Naples
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to One Knoxville lately — more wins on the board than FC Naples.
- 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 19%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | One Knoxville | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs FC Naples
0:0
May 2, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs One Knoxville
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs FC Naples
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs FC Naples
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs One Knoxville
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
One Knoxville 32 / 100
FC Naples 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
One Knoxville FC Naples
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Naples Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
FC Naples has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: One Knoxville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
One Knoxville VS FC Naples
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
One Knoxville
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
22 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
FC Naples
(Away) 11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 1 FC Naples
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
