Sport Picks
One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Brown J. In: McLeod S.
Out: Brown J.
46'
46'
Sub
Karani S. In: Bender J.
Out: Karani S.
52'
52'
Conway E.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between One Knoxville and Sarasota Paradise finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward One Knoxville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarasota Paradise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- One Knoxville carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sarasota Paradise are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 12%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | One Knoxville | Sarasota Paradise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Conway E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diene B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Sarasota Paradise Compare
Top Goalscorer Valentine R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
One Knoxville 19 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
One Knoxville Sarasota Paradise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Sarasota Paradise let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
One Knoxville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
One Knoxville VS Sarasota Paradise
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
One Knoxville
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2 One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
22 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
Sarasota Paradise
(Away) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
