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One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Regal Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

One Knoxville host Spokane Velocity in the USL League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. One Knoxville have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Spokane Velocity's 1.54 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor One Knoxville slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.38 - 1.56) back One Knoxville to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
One Knoxville
30%
Draws
37%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives One Knoxville a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 15%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric One Knoxville Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
0:4
Nov 16, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

One Knoxville 35 / 100
Spokane Velocity 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
One Knoxville Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: One Knoxville scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Spokane Velocity let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

One Knoxville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

One Knoxville VS Spokane Velocity
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

One Knoxville

(Home)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)