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Onehunga vs Melville

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onehunga in this Chatham Cup 2017 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Onehunga
15%
Draws
21%
Melville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onehunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Melville lately — more wins on the board than Onehunga.
  • Model gives Onehunga a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Melville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Onehunga, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Onehunga have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 20%
Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onehunga Melville
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.21 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2018 Chatham Cup
Melville vs Onehunga
1:3
Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Onehunga vs Melville
1:0
Jul 26, 2014 Chatham Cup
Melville vs Onehunga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onehunga 85 / 100
Melville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onehunga Melville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onehunga's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Melville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Onehunga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melville
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Onehunga

(Home)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Melville

(Away)
04 Jul
Melville
0 : 1
Hibiscus Coast
05 Jul
Auckland United
7 : 1
Melville
06 Jul
Melville
0 : 1
Hibiscus Coast
10 Sept
Melville
2 : 3
Christchurch
19 Aug
Melville
3 : 1
Waterside Karori
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4