Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Onsala vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Rydets IP, Onsala
Wed, Aug 20, 2025
1 - 2
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Nygaard A.
41' Event
Thorell L.
92' Event
Stroud E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Mjallby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Onsala
20%
Draws
32%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Onsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Onsala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Onsala are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Onsala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mjallby, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Onsala Clean Sheet 68%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onsala Mjallby
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Onsala vs Mjallby
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Onsala Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygaard A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorell L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stroud E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onsala 59 / 100
Mjallby 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onsala Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onsala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onsala scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Mjallby let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mjallby's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Onsala VS Mjallby
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Onsala

(Home)
12 Sept
Onsala
2 : 0
Galtabacks
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
29 Aug
Onsala
0 : 2
Dalstorps
23 Aug
Onsala
1 : 4
Lindome
15 Aug
Jonsereds
2 : 1
Onsala
Page 1 of 6

Mjallby

(Away)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
31 Aug
Djurgarden
4 : 0
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gimo 2
Haninge 3
TBD -
Elfsborg -
Pitea 5
Skelleftea 1
TBD -
Sirius -
Viken 0
Karlstad 4
TBD -
Umea FC -
Viggbyholms 3
Gute 2
TBD -
Norrkoping -
FC Jarfalla 5
IK Franke 1
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Assyriska FF 2
Sollentuna 0
TBD -
Sandviken -
Ursvik IK 2
Syrianska 3
TBD -
Orebro -
Hudiksvall 3
Friska Viljor 2
TBD -
AIK -
Enkopings SK 4
Vasalund 2
TBD -
Degerfors -
Taby FK 2
FC Arlanda 1
TBD -
Ostersund -
IFK Stocksund 0
Karlbergs 5
TBD -
Brage -
Torstorps IF 2
Hjulsbro 1
TBD -
Sundsvall -
Farsta 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale 2
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Karlslund 0
FBK Karlstad 1
TBD -
Oddevold -
Korsnas 1
Gefle 0
TBD -
Hammarby -
Dvarsatts BK 1
Kubikenborgs 4
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
Ockero IF 2
Trollhattan 0
TBD -
Landskrona -
Lodde 4
Rosengard 3
TBD -
GAIS -
Laholms 0
Eskilsminne 2
TBD -
Varberg -
Balkan 0
Lunds Bois 3
TBD -
Trelleborg -
Tidaholm IFK 0
Nassjo 3
TBD -
Hacken -
IFK Berga 1
Solvesborgs 3
TBD -
Falkenberg -
Jonkoping Torpa 0
IFK Skovde 3
TBD -
Utsikten -
Sylvia 2
Arameisk-Syrianska 0
TBD -
Kalmar -
Vanersborgs FK 2
Torslanda 1
TBD -
Helsingborg -
Stenungsunds IF 1
Qviding 2
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
Vastboas GoIF 0
Myresjo Vetlanda 2
TBD -
Halmstad -
Eslov 0
Olympic 3
TBD -
Malmo FF -
Gauthiod 2
IK Zenith 3
TBD -
Orgryte -
IF Centern 3
Hogaborgs 2
TBD -
Varnamo -
Rappe GOIF 1
Kristianstad 0
TBD -
Oster -
Onsala 4
Lindome 2
TBD -
Mjallby -
Final
Haninge 0
Elfsborg 1
Pitea 0
Sirius 5
Karlstad 2
Umea FC 1
Viggbyholms 0
Norrkoping 3
FC Jarfalla 1
Djurgarden 4
Assyriska FF 0
Sandviken 1
Syrianska 0
Orebro 2
Hudiksvall 0
AIK 7
Enkopings SK 1
Degerfors 2
Taby FK 0
Ostersund 1
Karlbergs 2
Brage 3
Torstorps IF 0
Sundsvall 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale 0
Brommapojkarna 2
FBK Karlstad 0
Oddevold 6
Korsnas 0
Hammarby 3
Kubikenborgs 0
Vasteras SK 1
Ockero IF 1
Landskrona 3
Lodde 1
GAIS 3
Eskilsminne 1
Varberg 2
Lunds Bois 2
Trelleborg 3
Nassjo 0
Hacken 8
Solvesborgs 0
Falkenberg 2
IFK Skovde 3
Utsikten 2
Sylvia 0
Kalmar 5
Vanersborgs FK 0
Helsingborg 1
Qviding 0
IFK Goteborg 4
Myresjo Vetlanda 1
Halmstad 4
Olympic 0
Malmo FF 1
IK Zenith 1
Orgryte 2
IF Centern 1
Varnamo 3
Rappe GOIF 1
Oster 5
Onsala 1
Mjallby 2