Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Onsala vs Nassjo

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 game between Onsala and Nassjo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Onsala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Onsala
15%
Draws
28%
Nassjo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Onsala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Onsala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Onsala Clean Sheet 68%
Nassjo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onsala Nassjo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Nassjo
2:1
May 14, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Nassjo vs Onsala
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onsala 95 / 100
Nassjo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onsala Nassjo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onsala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onsala's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nassjo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Nassjo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Onsala VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Onsala

(Home)
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Onsala
2 : 0
Galtabacks
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
29 Aug
Onsala
0 : 2
Dalstorps
23 Aug
Onsala
1 : 4
Lindome
Page 1 of 7

Nassjo

(Away)
11 Sept
Nassjo
0 : 8
Hacken
24 Jun
Tidaholm IFK
0 : 3
Nassjo
22 Oct
Tord
6 : 1
Nassjo
15 Oct
Nassjo
0 : 3
BK Astrio
07 Oct
Qviding
5 : 1
Nassjo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Onsala 26 16 2 8 51:29 50
2 Frolunda 26 15 5 6 49:38 50
3 BK Astrio 26 15 4 7 40:24 49
4 Tord 26 13 3 10 49:39 42
5 Varbergs GIF 26 12 5 9 45:42 41
6 Husqvarna 26 11 6 9 47:33 39
7 Laholms 26 11 3 12 36:39 36
8 Qviding 26 10 4 12 56:52 34
9 Lindome 26 10 3 13 44:46 33
10 Landvetter 26 9 5 12 35:47 32
11 Savedalen 26 9 4 13 37:45 31
12 Hittarp 26 8 7 11 43:59 31
13 Tolo IF 26 7 9 10 32:38 30
14 Nassjo 26 3 6 17 25:58 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)