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Ontinyent vs Benidorm

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ontinyent advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ontinyent
20%
Draws
80%
Benidorm
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benidorm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benidorm come out ahead of Ontinyent on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Benidorm arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ontinyent, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ontinyent Clean Sheet 20%
Benidorm Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ontinyent Benidorm
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.53 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ontinyent vs Benidorm
1:0
Jan 20, 2011 Copa Federacion
Ontinyent vs Benidorm
1:0
Jan 12, 2011 Copa Federacion
Benidorm vs Ontinyent
1:2
Oct 10, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Benidorm vs Ontinyent
3:1
Apr 18, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Benidorm vs Ontinyent
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ontinyent 32 / 100
Benidorm 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ontinyent Benidorm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benidorm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Benidorm conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ontinyent found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Benidorm registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benidorm
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ontinyent

(Home)
19 May
Lleida
1 : 0
Ontinyent
12 May
Ontinyent
0 : 1
CF Badalona
05 May
Valencia B
1 : 0
Ontinyent
28 Apr
Ontinyent
0 : 1
Levante B
21 Apr
Cornella
1 : 0
Ontinyent
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Benidorm

(Away)
11 May
La Nucia
0 : 1
Benidorm
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Soneja
2 : 2
Benidorm
20 Apr
Benidorm
1 : 5
Castellon B
13 Apr
Torrellano
1 : 1
Benidorm
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Mancha 1
CD Ronda 5
Parla 1
CD Puertollano 3
Benidorm 3
La Roda 3
Ontinyent 2
Denia 0
Alaves 3
Arandina 1
CD Las Rozas 1
Leganes 1
Baleares 1
Sabadell 1
Oyonesa 1
Zaragoza B 5
Crevillente 2
Gandia 1
Corralejo 2
Mallorca B 5
Caravaca 3
UD Almansa 2
Jerez CF 3
San Roque de Lepe 2
Montaneros 3
Candas CF 2
Palencia CF 2
Izarra 1
Haro Deportivo 4
Lemona 9
SD Noja 3
Rayo Cantabria 4
1/8-finals
CD Ronda 2
CD Puertollano 3
Benidorm 1
Ontinyent 3
Arandina 2
Leganes 1
Sabadell 3
Zaragoza B 3
Crevillente 1
Mallorca B 2
Caravaca 3
Jerez CF 2
Montaneros 1
Palencia CF 4
Lemona 2
Rayo Cantabria 0
Quarter-finals
CD Puertollano 2
Ontinyent 2
Arandina 2
Zaragoza B 1
Mallorca B 3
Caravaca 6
Palencia CF 3
Lemona 4
Semi-finals
CD Puertollano 3
Arandina 1
Caravaca 2
Lemona 3
Final
CD Puertollano 4
Lemona 3