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Onze Createurs vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Onze Createurs and Derby Academie finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Onze Createurs
33%
Draws
27%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Onze Createurs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Onze Createurs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Onze Createurs taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Onze Createurs Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onze Createurs Derby Academie
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 14
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Onze Createurs
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Derby Academie
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onze Createurs 50 / 100
Derby Academie 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onze Createurs Derby Academie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Onze Createurs stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Derby Academie registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Onze Createurs VS Derby Academie
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316