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Onze Createurs vs Stade Malien Prediction & H2H Stats

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Malien in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Malien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Onze Createurs
30%
Draws
39%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stade Malien lately — more wins on the board than Onze Createurs.
  • Win probability leans Stade Malien's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Stade Malien here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Onze Createurs Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Onze Createurs Stade Malien
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 18
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Stade Malien
1:2
Jan 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Onze Createurs
1:0
May 6, 2025 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Stade Malien
0:1
Feb 24, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Onze Createurs
3:1
Feb 10, 2024 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Onze Createurs
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Onze Createurs 28 / 100
Stade Malien 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Onze Createurs Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Onze Createurs has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Onze Createurs scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Stade Malien's defensive record shows goals conceded in 37% of 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Onze Createurs VS Stade Malien
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Onze Createurs

(Home)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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Stade Malien

(Away)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)