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Oostende vs Beerschot VA

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2023/2024 AlbertPark, Oostende
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Verlinden T.
Assist: Wright-Phillips D.
33'
Amade A.
46'
Sub
Hartwig L. In: Atanga D.
Out: Hartwig L.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League 2023/2024 game between Oostende and Beerschot VA finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beerschot VA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Oostende
15%
Draws
54%
Beerschot VA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beerschot VA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Beerschot VA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Beerschot VA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Oostende Clean Sheet 12%
Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oostende Beerschot VA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Oostende vs Beerschot VA
1:2
Sep 30, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Oostende
1:1
Dec 18, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Oostende
0:2
Sep 18, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
Oostende vs Beerschot VA
3:1
Apr 11, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
Beerschot VA vs Oostende
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oostende Compare

Top Goalscorer Medley Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Beerschot VA Compare

Top Goalscorer Verlinden T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wright-Phillips D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oostende 11 / 100
Beerschot VA 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oostende Beerschot VA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beerschot VA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oostende's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Beerschot VA conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Oostende stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beerschot VA
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Oostende

(Home)
19 Apr
Oostende
2 : 1
St. Liege U23
14 Apr
Patro Eisden
2 : 3
Oostende
07 Apr
Oostende
1 : 2
Beerschot VA
31 Mar
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Oostende
16 Mar
Genk U23
3 : 1
Oostende
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Beerschot VA

(Away)
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
04 Sept
Beerschot VA
4 : 2
Patro Eisden
29 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Beerschot VA
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
16 Aug
Beerschot VA
4 : 0
Gent U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 30 17 5 8 46:29 56
2 Dender 30 15 9 6 55:32 54
3 Deinze 30 16 5 9 48:37 53
4 Lommel SK 30 15 7 8 51:31 52
5 Waregem 30 15 6 9 51:34 51
6 Patro Eisden 30 14 9 7 40:28 51
7 RFC Liege 30 15 4 11 49:41 49
8 SK Beveren 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
9 Club Brugge U23 30 11 4 15 40:49 37
10 Genk U23 30 10 7 13 46:52 37
11 Lierse SK 30 10 5 15 44:59 35
12 Anderlecht U23 30 8 10 12 39:47 34
13 Oostende 30 10 8 12 32:39 32
14 Francs Borains 30 9 5 16 38:52 32
15 RFC Seraing 30 6 10 14 33:51 28
16 St. Liege U23 30 5 2 23 25:60 17
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