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Oostende vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2023/2024 AlbertPark, Oostende
Wed, Dec 6, 2023
3 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Bonsu Baah C.
46'
Sub
Oyen L. In: El Khannouss B.
Out: Oyen L.
46'
Sub
Bonsu Baah C. In: Paintsil J.
Out: Bonsu Baah C.

AI Match Summary

Oostende in this Belgian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Oostende
35%
Draws
30%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Oostende have won more games recently than Genk.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Oostende have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Genk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Oostende Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oostende Genk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2023 Belgian Cup
Oostende vs Genk
3:1
Feb 25, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Oostende
3:0
Oct 1, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Oostende vs Genk
1:2
Dec 26, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
Oostende vs Genk
0:4
Jul 30, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Oostende
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oostende Compare

Top Goalscorer Basila T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Haese R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ait El Hadj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oostende 36 / 100
Genk 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oostende Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Oostende scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Genk conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Oostende remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Genk
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oostende

(Home)
19 Apr
Oostende
2 : 1
St. Liege U23
14 Apr
Patro Eisden
2 : 3
Oostende
07 Apr
Oostende
1 : 2
Beerschot VA
31 Mar
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Oostende
16 Mar
Genk U23
3 : 1
Oostende
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
St. Truiden 3
Francs Borains 0
Patro Eisden 1
Gent 3
Beerschot VA 0
Club Brugge 6
Cercle Brugge 2
Waregem 3
SK Beveren 3
Westerlo 1
Royale Union SG 2
Meux 1
RAAL La Louviere 0
Anderlecht 1
St. Liege 5
KRC Harelbeke 0
Eupen 0
Oostende 2
URSL Vise 0
Genk 4
Dender 1
Kortrijk 2
OC Charleroi 0
RWDM Brussels 1
Knokke 2
KV Mechelen 1
Leuven 5
Elene-Grotenberge 0
Lierse SK 1
Antwerp 4
Thes Sport 0
Charleroi 3
1/8-finals
St. Truiden 0
Gent 1
Club Brugge 4
Waregem 0
SK Beveren 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 2
St. Liege 0
Oostende 3
Genk 1
Kortrijk 0
RWDM Brussels 1
Knokke 1
Leuven 2
Antwerp 5
Charleroi 2
Quarter-finals
Gent 0
Club Brugge 1
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Oostende 2
RWDM Brussels 0
Leuven 2
Antwerp 3
Semi-finals
Club Brugge 2
Royale Union SG 3
Oostende 1
Antwerp 4
Final
Royale Union SG 1
Antwerp 0