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Operario AC vs Ivinhema

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Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

0 - 3
FT
Ivinhema Logo

Ivinhema

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ivinhema in this Sul-Matogrossense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ivinhema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Operario AC
30%
Draws
58%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ivinhema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ivinhema have won more games recently than Operario AC.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 16%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario AC Ivinhema
Matches Played 26 45
Wins 1 17
Draws 8 12
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.85 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Operario AC
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Ivinhema
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario AC 36 / 100
Ivinhema 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario AC Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivinhema Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ivinhema conceded in 73% of 45 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Operario AC scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Operario AC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ivinhema
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario AC

(Home)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)