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Operario AC vs Novoperario Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

4 - 4
FT
Novoperario Logo

Novoperario

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
24' Event
(Penalty)
31' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Operario AC and Novoperario finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Operario AC
30%
Draws
58%
Novoperario
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novoperario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Novoperario carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Novoperario here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 18%
Novoperario Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario AC Novoperario
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 1 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.85 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Novoperario
4:4
Feb 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Operario AC
1:0
Feb 20, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense
Novoperario vs Operario AC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario AC 32 / 100
Novoperario 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario AC Novoperario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novoperario Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novoperario let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Operario AC scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Operario AC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario AC VS Novoperario
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario AC

(Home)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

Novoperario

(Away)
02 Mar
Novoperario
0 : 0
Dourados
24 Feb
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Novoperario
21 Feb
Novoperario
1 : 1
Corumbaense
17 Feb
Novoperario
3 : 2
Ivinhema
04 Feb
Dourados
2 : 1
Novoperario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)