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Operario MS vs Coxim

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bruno Boca
84' Event
Junior Fell

AI Match Summary

Operario MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
46%
Coxim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario MS lately — more wins on the board than Coxim.
  • Operario MS are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Operario MS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 68%
Coxim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Coxim
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.57 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Operario MS
0:1
Feb 21, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Operario MS
2:2
Jan 25, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Coxim
2:0
Mar 9, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Coxim
3:0
Feb 8, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Operario MS
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Boca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Junior Fell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Coxim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 50 / 100
Coxim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Coxim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Coxim let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Operario MS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
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Coxim

(Away)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)