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Operario MS vs Pantanal Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Operario MS and Pantanal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Operario MS
20%
Draws
20%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Pantanal haven't matched Operario MS's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Operario MS's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 68%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Pantanal
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Operario MS
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
1:4
Apr 7, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 68 / 100
Pantanal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

Pantanal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Pantanal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 8

Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)