Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario MS vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Jacques da Luz, Campo Grande
Operario MS Logo

Operario MS

1 - 1
FT
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Choco A.
34' Event
Victor Braga
90'
Ribeiro E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
53%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS have won more games recently than Rio Branco ES.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco ES taking it.
  • Operario MS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario MS, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Operario MS here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 22%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Operario MS vs Rio Branco ES
1:1
Sep 23, 1979 Serie A Betano
Operario MS vs Rio Branco ES
4:0
Apr 12, 1978 Serie A Betano
Operario MS vs Rio Branco ES
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Choco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rio Branco ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Braga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 24 / 100
Rio Branco ES 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Rio Branco ES let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Operario MS has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS Rio Branco ES
1.2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)