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Operario MS W vs Vila Nova FC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Souza K.
66' Event
Clara A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Operario MS W
20%
Draws
38%
Vila Nova FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario MS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC W have won more games recently than Operario MS W.
  • Win probability leans Operario MS W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Vila Nova FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vila Nova FC W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Operario MS W Clean Sheet 10%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS W Vila Nova FC W
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0 3
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Operario MS W
2:1
Jun 8, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Operario MS W vs Vila Nova FC W
1:1
May 3, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Vila Nova FC W vs Operario MS W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario MS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS W 40 / 100
Vila Nova FC W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS W Vila Nova FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Operario MS W scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Vila Nova FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Operario MS W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vila Nova FC W
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS W

(Home)
06 Aug
CR Flamengo W
6 : 0
Operario MS W
14 Jun
Vila Nova FC W
2 : 1
Operario MS W
11 Jun
Remo W
1 : 2
Operario MS W
08 Jun
Operario MS W
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
28 May
Mixto PB W
0 : 1
Operario MS W
Page 1 of 4

Vila Nova FC W

(Away)
30 May
Vila Nova FC W
3 : 2
Taubate W
23 May
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
20 May
Itacoatiara W
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
16 May
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 2
Atletico-PI W
13 May
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico-PI W7
Tuna Luso W2
Ypiranga AP W1
Ceara W2
UD Alagoana W5
Juventude W4
Doce Mel W4
Ipojuca W3
Vila Nova FC W7
Rolim de Moura W2
Galvez W2
Operario MS W4
Perolas Negras W3
Brasil de Farroupilha W1
Coritiba W0
Itabirito W3
Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI W5
Ceara W2
UD Alagoana W1
Doce Mel W2
Vila Nova FC W3
Operario MS W2
Perolas Negras W2
Itabirito W3
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI W6
Doce Mel W1
Vila Nova FC W5
Itabirito W4
Final
Atletico-PI W5
Vila Nova FC W2