Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Avai Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Vizeu F.
Penalty Missed
11'
Vizeu F.
26'
Paulo Vitor

AI Match Summary

Avai in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Operario-PR
30%
Draws
8%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Avai haven't matched Operario-PR's recent run of results.
  • Operario-PR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Avai
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Avai
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs Operario-PR
0:0
Aug 19, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Avai
0:0
Apr 16, 2025 Serie B
Avai vs Operario-PR
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 Serie B
Avai vs Operario-PR
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Mingotti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefferson Maciel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 95 / 100
Avai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Avai let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Operario-PR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Avai has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Avai
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
27 Sept
Criciuma
3 : 0
Avai
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
15 Sept
Avai
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
2 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
11 Cuiaba 30 10 13 7 30:25 43
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 30 9 8 13 34:36 35
17 Avai 30 8 6 16 30:41 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 30 4 5 21 21:50 17
20 Ponte Preta 30 3 4 23 17:64 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)