Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Novorizontino

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Operario-PR Logo

Operario-PR

1 - 1
FT
Novorizontino Logo

Novorizontino

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Antony
40'
Sub
Teixeira Gezo Carminati K. In: Luduena Coronel M.
Out: Teixeira Gezo Carminati K.
56'
Pool J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Operario-PR
35%
Draws
34%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novorizontino come out ahead of Operario-PR on wins alone.
  • Model gives Operario-PR a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Novorizontino arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario-PR, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Novorizontino
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino
2:1
Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Operario-PR
3:0
Jun 23, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Operario-PR
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Pool J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Alemao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 51 / 100
Novorizontino 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Operario-PR scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Novorizontino has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Novorizontino
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino

(Away)
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
28 Aug
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)