Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario VG vs Primavera AC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Estadio Municipal Dito Souza, Varzea Grande
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Alisson Farias
73' Event
Giovanni
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Operario VG
20%
Draws
51%
Primavera AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Primavera AC at 1.03 per game, Operario VG at 0.83.
  • Model gives Primavera AC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 18%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario VG Primavera AC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Primavera AC
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Primavera AC
1:1
Oct 3, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Operario VG vs Primavera AC
3:1
Feb 1, 2024 Matogrossense
Primavera AC vs Operario VG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario VG Compare

Top Goalscorer Alisson Farias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Primavera AC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario VG 23 / 100
Primavera AC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario VG Primavera AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario VG's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Primavera AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Operario VG stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario VG VS Primavera AC
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario VG

(Home)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
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Primavera AC

(Away)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)