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Operario VG vs Rondonopolis EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
Sat, Feb 13, 2016
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario VG host Rondonopolis EC in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2016. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Operario VG at 0.95 goals for, 1.2 against; Rondonopolis EC at 1.6 for, 1.05 against. Past meetings favor Operario VG slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.19) back Rondonopolis EC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Operario VG
35%
Draws
39%
Rondonopolis EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rondonopolis EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Operario VG have won more games recently than Rondonopolis EC.
  • Rondonopolis EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 20%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario VG Rondonopolis EC
Matches Played 40 20
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.95 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Operario VG
0:0
Feb 13, 2016 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario VG 10 / 100
Rondonopolis EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario VG Rondonopolis EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Operario VG scored in 68% of their last 40 outings.

Rondonopolis EC let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Operario VG stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario VG VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario VG

(Home)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 8

Rondonopolis EC

(Away)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 10 5 3 2 20:9 18
2 Sinop FC 10 5 3 2 13:4 18
3 Várzea Grande EC 10 4 3 3 13:17 15
4 Cacerense 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
5 Mixto 10 2 4 4 16:21 10
6 Pocone 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 5 2 1 19:1 17
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Araguaia 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
4 Uniao EC 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
5 Operario VG 8 0 1 7 3:25 1
6 Rondonopolis EC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)