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Operario VG vs Sport Sinop Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Estadio Municipal Dito Souza, Varzea Grande
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Match Events

7' Event
Caio Vinicius
16'
Kaique
27'
Caio Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Operario VG in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario VG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Operario VG
30%
Draws
47%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Sinop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario VG have won more games recently than Sport Sinop.
  • Sport Sinop are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Operario VG here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 19%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario VG Sport Sinop
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.02 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Operario VG
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Sport Sinop
4:0
Mar 4, 2023 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Operario VG
1:6
Feb 12, 2022 Matogrossense
Sport Sinop vs Operario VG
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario VG Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igor Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Sport Sinop Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario VG 12 / 100
Sport Sinop 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario VG Sport Sinop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Operario VG scored in 63% of their last 41 outings.

Defensive concern: Sport Sinop conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Operario VG went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario VG VS Sport Sinop
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario VG

(Home)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
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Sport Sinop

(Away)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)