Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oran vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oran host ES Setif in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. ES Setif have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Oran have conceded 1 and scored 1.22. Past meetings favor ES Setif slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.31) back Oran to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Oran
15%
Draws
40%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oran lately — more wins on the board than ES Setif.
  • Win probability leans Oran's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Oran Clean Sheet 18%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran ES Setif
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Oran vs ES Setif
0:0
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Oran
3:0
Nov 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs ES Setif
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Oran
1:0
Nov 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs ES Setif
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 76 / 100
ES Setif 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oran found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

ES Setif let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Oran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Oran VS ES Setif
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oran

(Home)
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
Page 1 of 6

ES Setif

(Away)
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constantine 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 USM Alger 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 CR Belouizdad 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
4 ES Ben Aknoun 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Oran 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Kabylie 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Rouisset 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Olympique Akbou 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Biskra 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Khenchela 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 CR Temouchent 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
12 ASO Chlef 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
13 MC Alger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Saoura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 ES Setif 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
16 JS El Biar 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)