Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oran vs Ghriss

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oran play Ghriss in the Algeria Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oran averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Ghriss averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Oran won 1, Ghriss won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 2, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Oran and 1.00 for Ghriss. This points to a Oran double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Oran
17%
Draws
38%
Ghriss
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Oran picked up more points recently compared to Ghriss.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Oran Clean Sheet 23%
Ghriss Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran Ghriss
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.06 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 2, 2020 Algeria Cup
Oran vs Ghriss
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadji R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamidi W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Ghriss Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 45 / 100
Ghriss 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran Ghriss

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oran or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oran attacking → ← attacking Ghriss

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oran scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Ghriss let in goals in 55% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Oran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ghriss lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 18
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00