Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oran vs Khenchela

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Miloud Hadefi stadium, Oran
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Etouga F.
30'
Embarek O.
30'
Abdelkader M.

AI Match Summary

Oran in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oran
20%
Draws
40%
Khenchela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Khenchela haven't matched Oran's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Oran taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran Khenchela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Oran vs Khenchela
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Oran
2:0
May 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Oran
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs Khenchela
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Oran
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliane Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bourdim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Khenchela Compare

Top Goalscorer Etouga F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 50 / 100
Khenchela 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran Khenchela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oran scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Khenchela let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Oran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oran VS Khenchela
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oran

(Home)
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2
Oran
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Khenchela

(Away)
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Khenchela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)