Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oran vs MC Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 Miloud Hadefi stadium, Oran
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Traore B.
39'
Benkhemassa M.
41' Event
Ferhat Z.

AI Match Summary

Oran in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oran
44%
Draws
20%
MC Alger
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • MC Alger have won more games recently than Oran.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MC Alger have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Oran Clean Sheet 18%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran MC Alger
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Oran vs MC Alger
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Oran
3:2
Mar 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs MC Alger
0:2
Oct 11, 2024 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Oran
1:0
Jun 14, 2024 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Oran
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

MC Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferhat Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 36 / 100
MC Alger 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran MC Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Oran found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Oran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

MC Alger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oran VS MC Alger
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oran

(Home)
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2
Oran
Page 1 of 6

MC Alger

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
08 May
MC Alger
1 : 1
Rouisset
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)