Sport Picks
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA 
Match Events
4'
4'
Ordonez A.
20'
20'
Ordonez A.
28'
28'
Sangwa J.
AI Match Summary
FC Tulsa in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Tulsa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Tulsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- FC Tulsa have won more games recently than Orange County SC.
- Model gives FC Tulsa a 41% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tulsa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orange County SC | FC Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
1:5
Apr 12, 2026 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC
1:0
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs FC Tulsa
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 USL Championship
FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orange County SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hegardt C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
FC Tulsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Ordonez A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Pierre D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orange County SC 10 / 100
FC Tulsa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orange County SC FC Tulsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Tulsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orange County SC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
FC Tulsa has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Orange County SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Orange County SC VS FC Tulsa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Orange County SC
(Home) 04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
FC Tulsa
(Away) 09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
04 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Lexington
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
19 Sept
Brooklyn FC
2 : 2 FC Tulsa
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
