Sport Picks
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA 
Match Events
13'
13'
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Probo G.
42'
42'
Sub
Rodriguez J. In: Arteaga M.
Out: Rodriguez J.
45'
45'
Arteaga M.
AI Match Summary
Las Vegas Lights in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Vegas Lights.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Vegas Lights
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Las Vegas Lights lately — more wins on the board than Orange County SC.
- Model gives Las Vegas Lights a 51% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 12%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orange County SC | Las Vegas Lights |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC
2:3
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 USL Cup
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orange County SC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Anderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orange County SC 27 / 100
Las Vegas Lights 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orange County SC Las Vegas Lights
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Las Vegas Lights Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Orange County SC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Las Vegas Lights let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Orange County SC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orange County SC VS Las Vegas Lights
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Orange County SC
(Home) 04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2 Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
Las Vegas Lights
(Away) 04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
08 Aug
Miami FC
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
