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Oratorio vs Cristal AP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jonathan Chula
23' Event
Jonathan Chula
50' Event
Jonathan Chula

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense game between Oratorio and Cristal AP finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oratorio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Oratorio
15%
Draws
0%
Cristal AP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oratorio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oratorio come out ahead of Cristal AP on wins alone.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Oratorio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 20%
Cristal AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oratorio Cristal AP
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.52 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.64 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Cristal AP
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Cristal AP
2:0
Jun 27, 2011 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Oratorio
0:2
Nov 4, 2009 Amapaense
Cristal AP vs Oratorio
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oratorio Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonathan Chula
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cristal AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Moises
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oratorio 32 / 100
Cristal AP 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oratorio Cristal AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cristal AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cristal AP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cristal AP's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oratorio scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Oratorio VS Cristal AP
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oratorio

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
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Cristal AP

(Away)
14 Mar
Oratorio
4 : 1
Cristal AP
10 Mar
Cristal AP
0 : 2
Ypiranga AP
02 Mar
Trem
3 : 1
Cristal AP
27 Feb
SAO Jose
2 : 1
Cristal AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Santos AP 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
4 Independente AP 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
5 Trem 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Macapa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
8 Cristal AP 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Amapaense (Play Offs)