Sport Picks

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Oratorio vs Santos AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Juniel
50' Event
Adriel
65' Event
Adriel

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Oratorio
30%
Draws
64%
Santos AP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oratorio come out ahead of Santos AP on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santos AP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Oratorio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos AP, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 10%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oratorio Santos AP
Matches Played 43 36
Wins 18 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Santos AP
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Oratorio
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Santos AP
1:3
Apr 10, 2025 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Santos AP
1:0
Mar 18, 2024 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Santos AP
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oratorio Compare

Top Goalscorer Juniel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santos AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Adriel
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.34
Avg xA / game 1.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oratorio 10 / 100
Santos AP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oratorio Santos AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oratorio's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Santos AP let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Oratorio stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oratorio VS Santos AP
1.63 Goals Scored 2.57
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Oratorio

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
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Santos AP

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2
Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Trem
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
SAO Jose 4
Independente AP 4
Oratorio 2
Santos AP 3
Final
SAO Jose 0
Santos AP 4