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Stadium Background

Oratorio vs SAO Jose

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2015 game between Oratorio and SAO Jose finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oratorio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Oratorio
30%
Draws
58%
SAO Jose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SAO Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oratorio come out ahead of SAO Jose on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on SAO Jose taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Oratorio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 19%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oratorio SAO Jose
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Oratorio
1:2
Aug 24, 2015 Amapaense
Oratorio vs SAO Jose
3:0
Jul 1, 2012 Amapaense
Oratorio vs SAO Jose
3:2
May 1, 2012 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Oratorio
1:1
Aug 10, 2011 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Oratorio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oratorio 10 / 100
SAO Jose 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oratorio SAO Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Jose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SAO Jose conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Oratorio's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Oratorio has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oratorio VS SAO Jose
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oratorio

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
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SAO Jose

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente AP 8 6 1 1 13:6 19
2 Ypiranga AP 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
3 Trem 8 4 0 4 8:11 12
4 Santos AP 8 3 2 3 18:8 11
5 Macapa 8 3 2 3 11:8 11
6 Oratorio 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
7 SAO Jose 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Sao Paulo AP 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
9 Santana EC 8 1 1 6 7:20 4
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2015 (Play Offs)