Sport Picks
Orbi vs FC Gardabani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 Grigol Jomartidze Stadium, Khashuri 
Match Events
33'
33'
Gurtsiev G.
64'
64'
Kereselidze T.
90'
90'
Kavtaradze Z.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Orbi and FC Gardabani finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orbi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orbi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Gardabani haven't matched Orbi's recent run of results.
- Model gives Orbi a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
- Orbi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Orbi Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orbi | FC Gardabani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs FC Gardabani
3:0
Mar 12, 2026 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Orbi
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 Liga 3
FC Gardabani vs Orbi
1:2
Jun 24, 2025 Liga 3
Orbi vs FC Gardabani
2:2
Sep 18, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs FC Gardabani
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orbi Compare
Top Goalscorer Gurtsiev G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kereselidze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
FC Gardabani Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orbi 85 / 100
FC Gardabani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orbi FC Gardabani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orbi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orbi scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
FC Gardabani let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Orbi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Orbi VS FC Gardabani
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Orbi
(Home) 09 Oct
Orbi
3 : 3 Iberia 1999 2
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0 Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2 Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2 Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0 Khobi
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Orbi
3 : 3 Iberia 1999 2
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2 Iveria Khashuri
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0 Khobi
13 Aug
Orbi
3 : 0 FC Gardabani
25 Jul
Orbi
1 : 4 Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 3
FC Gardabani
(Away) 09 Oct
FC Gardabani
1 : 3 Khobi
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0 FC Gardabani
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5 Guria
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1 Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0 FC Gardabani
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
13 Aug
Orbi
3 : 0 FC Gardabani
15 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
21 May
Iberia 1999 2
6 : 0 FC Gardabani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 67:11 | 54 |
| 2 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 57:14 | 52 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 37:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 38 |
| 7 | Orbi | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39:28 | 35 |
| 8 | Didube | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:31 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 31 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Khobi | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 31:46 | 24 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19:56 | 16 |
| 14 | Betlemi Keda | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15:55 | 16 |
| 15 | Iveria Khashuri | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24:48 | 14 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19:58 | 11 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
