Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orbi vs Locomotive Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Grigol Jomartidze Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orbi play Locomotive Tbilisi in the Liga 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orbi averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Locomotive Tbilisi averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Orbi won 2, Locomotive Tbilisi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Orbi and 1.06 for Locomotive Tbilisi. This points to a Orbi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Orbi
22%
Draws
26%
Locomotive Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Orbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Orbi picked up more points recently compared to Locomotive Tbilisi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Orbi Clean Sheet 22%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orbi Locomotive Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs Locomotive Tbilisi
2:1
Feb 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Orbi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khorava L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavtaradze Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Locomotive Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsartsidze N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orbi 51 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orbi Locomotive Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orbi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orbi attacking → ← attacking Locomotive Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orbi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Locomotive Tbilisi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Orbi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Locomotive Tbilisi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443