Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ordabasy vs Altai

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Maliy S.
Assist: Leo Natel
35'
Jambor N.
38' Event
Johnsen B.
Assist: Astanov E.

AI Match Summary

Ordabasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ordabasy
15%
Draws
14%
Altai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Altai.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ordabasy have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%
Altai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Altai
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 23 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ordabasy
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Altai
3:1
Jul 15, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Altai
3:1
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ordabasy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Maliy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnsen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadaev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 95 / 100
Altai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Altai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Ordabasy stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Altai conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Altai
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
08 Aug
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 4
Ordabasy
02 Aug
Ordabasy
2 : 0
Tobol
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Altai

(Away)
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
15 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 1
Altai
08 Aug
Altai
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
02 Aug
Okzhetpes
4 : 1
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 23 17 4 2 46:16 55
2 Kairat Almaty 22 15 6 1 44:15 51
3 FC Astana 22 12 6 4 37:24 42
4 Okzhetpes 23 11 6 6 35:31 39
5 Aktobe 23 10 5 8 33:28 35
6 Yelimay Semey 22 8 8 6 31:28 32
7 Ulytau 23 8 7 8 21:24 31
8 Zhenis 22 7 8 7 22:24 29
9 Tobol 23 8 4 11 26:31 28
10 Kaspij Aktau 23 7 5 11 25:31 26
11 Kyzylzhar 23 6 5 12 24:35 23
12 Atyrau 22 3 11 8 17:24 20
13 Ertis Pavlodar 22 4 8 10 22:31 20
14 Kaisar Kyzylorda 23 3 11 9 20:30 20
15 Altai 23 4 7 12 20:34 19
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 23 4 7 12 24:41 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)